← Segunda División 2016 · Sat, Jan 21, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Valentin Pizarro Gomez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 48% | 2.03 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
| Gimnastic win | 24% | 4.13 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ (pen) | Joselu · Lugo |
| 21' | 🟨 | Achille Emana · Gimnastic |
| 26' | 🟨 | Marcelo Djaló · Lugo |
| 54' | ⚽ | Stephane Emana · Gimnastic |
| 56' | 🟨 | Mossa · Gimnastic |
| 66' | ⚽ | Joselu · Lugo |
| 72' | 🟨 | Fernando Seoane · Lugo |
| 73' | ⚽ | Achille Emana · Gimnastic |
| 85' | 🟨 | Stephane Emana · Gimnastic |
| 89' | ⚽ | Stephane Emana · Gimnastic |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sergio Tejera · Gimnastic |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Gimnastic |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.64 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.55 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 204.00 | 51.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.19 | 1.42 |
| elo | 1495.04 |
| venue | Anxo Carro |
| 1363.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.22 | -15.90 |
| eye test v1 | -0.38 | -0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.28 | 0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.30 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.74 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | — |
| league points | 31.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 0.86 |
| skill v1 | 0.22 | -0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| state index | 0.30 | -1.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.77 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |