← Segunda División 2016 · Sun, Jan 15, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Pedro Jesus Perez Montero, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 38% | 2.54 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.12 |
| Alcorcon win | 30% | 3.22 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 64' | 🟨 | David Rodriguez · Alcorcon |
| 76' | 🟨 | Marcelo Djaló · Lugo |
| 79' | ⚽ | Alfonso Pedraza · Lugo |
| 86' | 🟨 | Antonio Campillo · Lugo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Carlos Luque · Alcorcon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 198.00 | 106.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Anxo Carro |
| 1.00 |
| 1.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.25 | 3.16 |
| elo | 1467.81 | 1458.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.35 | 4.27 |
| eye test v1 | 0.07 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.90 | 60.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.56 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.66 |
| league points | 31.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 67.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.60 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.46 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 1.14 |
| skill v1 | 0.45 | -0.99 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.13 | 26.07 |
| state index | -0.14 | -0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.72 | -0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |