← Segunda División 2016 · Sat, Dec 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Pablo Gonzales Fuertes, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 37% | 2.66 |
| Gimnastic win | 33% | 2.97 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gimnastic | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 9.00 | 39.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Nou Estadi Municipal |
| 3.00 |
| 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.69 | 1.95 |
| elo | 1474.53 | 1532.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.60 | -28.70 |
| eye test v1 | -0.36 | 0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.20 | 52.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.61 |
| league points | 17.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.40 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 55.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.19 |
| skill v1 | -0.54 | 0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.04 | 29.72 |
| state index | -0.00 | -0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.01 | 0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |