← Segunda División 2016 · Sun, Dec 4, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: David Perez Pallas, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 47% | 2.09 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.21 |
| Alcorcon win | 23% | 4.28 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.55 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 33.00 | 64.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Estadio de Vallecas |
| 2.00 |
| 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 2.76 |
| elo | 1522.47 | 1471.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.16 | 13.17 |
| eye test v1 | 0.17 | -0.37 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | 0.67 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.00 | 62.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | 0.70 |
| league points | 16.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 64.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 43.20 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.18 |
| skill v1 | 0.37 | -1.82 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 29.88 | 25.30 |
| state index | -0.39 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.06 | -0.99 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |