← Segunda División 2016 · Sat, Dec 3, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Francisco Manuel Arias Lopez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ucam Murcia win | 46% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.27 |
| Lugo win | 24% | 4.11 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Nono · Ucam Murcia |
| 14' | ⚽ | Alfonso Pedraza · Lugo |
| 63' | 🟨 | — · Lugo |
| 70' | 🟨 | Carlos Pita · Lugo |
| 76' | ⚽ | Alfonso Pedraza · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ucam Murcia | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 2.00 | 155.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Estadio de La Condomina |
| 3.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 2.50 |
| elo | 1469.48 | 1449.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.31 | -26.43 |
| eye test v1 | -0.56 | 0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.50 | 69.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.50 | 0.66 |
| league points | 19.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 57.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.37 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 1.41 |
| skill v1 | -0.14 | 0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 29.10 | 26.71 |
| state index | -0.33 | -0.77 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.08 | 0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |