← Segunda División 2016 · Sat, Oct 15, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui Fernandez Orte, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon win | 44% | 2.22 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.09 |
| Almeria win | 24% | 4.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Fran Vélez · Almeria |
| 15' | 🟨 | Fidel · Almeria |
| 22' | 🟨 | David Navarro · Alcorcon |
| 24' | 🟨 | Fran Vélez · Almeria |
| 24' | 🟥 | Fran Vélez · Almeria |
| 34' | 🟨 | Joaquín Fernández · Almeria |
| 52' | 🟨 | Daniel Toribio · Alcorcon |
| 70' | 🟨 | Manuel Sánchez · Alcorcon |
| 73' | 🟨 | Jorge Morcillo · Almeria |
| 77' | 🟨 | Casto · Almeria |
| 90' | 🟨 | Iván González · Alcorcon |
| 90' | 🟨 | Juanjo Expósito · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alcorcon | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.33 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 14.00 | 75.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 3.54 |
| elo | 1455.89 |
| venue | Santo Domingo |
| 1389.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.28 | -29.42 |
| eye test v1 | -1.42 | -0.67 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.40 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.67 | 50.78 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | — | 1.29 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.68 |
| league points | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.40 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 0.78 |
| skill v1 | -1.37 | -0.75 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 1.89 | 3.56 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.20 |
| state index | -0.66 | -1.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.63 | -0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | — | 0.20 |