← Segunda División 2016 · Sat, Oct 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Gorka Sagues Oscoz, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 46% | 2.12 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.15 |
| Alcorcon win | 23% | 4.22 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | José Manuel Arnáiz · Valladolid |
| 11' | ⚽ | José Manuel Arnáiz · Valladolid |
| 17' | 🟨 | Adrián Diéguez · Alcorcon |
| 25' | 🟨 | Federico Vega · Alcorcon |
| 86' | 🟨 | Iván González · Alcorcon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valladolid | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.18 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 99.00 | 7.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | José Zorrilla |
| 4.00 |
| 5.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | — |
| elo | 1432.27 | 1484.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -45.71 | -15.98 |
| eye test v1 | -0.59 | -1.43 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.88 | 59.88 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.79 |
| league points | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 63.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.60 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 1.11 |
| skill v1 | 0.54 | -1.85 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.75 | 1.88 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| squad age | 25.30 | 24.45 |
| state index | -1.09 | -0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.59 | -0.94 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |