← Segunda División 2016 · Sat, Sep 17, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Saul Ais Reig, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 45% | 2.18 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.21 |
| Alcorcon win | 25% | 3.94 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ (og) | David Rodriguez · Zaragoza |
| 45' | 🟨 | Marcelo Silva · Zaragoza |
| 49' | 🟨 | Victor Perez · Alcorcon |
| 54' | ⚽ | Manuel Lanzarote · Zaragoza |
| 57' | 🟨 | Rafael Paez · Alcorcon |
| 67' | 🟨 | Daniel Toribio · Alcorcon |
| 72' | 🟨 | Pablo Pérez · Alcorcon |
| 83' | 🟨 | Edu Garcia · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.45 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 291.00 | 108.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| venue | La Romareda |
| -0.40 |
| — |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | — |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | — |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.33 | — |
| elo | 1512.10 | 1500.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.40 | 12.91 |
| eye test v1 | 0.11 | -1.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.75 | 56.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.53 | 0.86 |
| league points | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.75 | 67.50 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.50 | 44.75 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | — |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| skill v1 | -0.25 | -1.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.25 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.75 | 2.25 |
| squad age | 28.84 | 23.84 |
| state index | -0.10 | 0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.25 | -0.42 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |