← Segunda División 2016 · Sat, Sep 17, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Juan Luis Pulido Santana, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia win | 48% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.23 |
| Gimnastic win | 22% | 4.42 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Franciso Regalón · Numancia |
| 6' | 🟨 | Juan Delgado · Gimnastic |
| 15' | ⚽ | Manu Del Moral · Numancia |
| 26' | 🟨 | Xavier Molina · Gimnastic |
| 58' | 🟨 | Lévy Madinda · Gimnastic |
| 86' | 🟥 | Sergio Tejera · Gimnastic |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Numancia | Gimnastic |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 474.00 | 4430.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| venue | Los Pajaritos |
| -1.00 |
| -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 3.54 |
| elo | 1486.32 | 1523.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.76 | -17.11 |
| eye test v1 | -1.04 | -0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 69.75 | 52.25 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.86 | 0.67 |
| league points | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.25 | 71.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.50 | 49.25 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| skill v1 | -1.16 | -0.80 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.75 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.50 | 4.00 |
| state index | -0.15 | -0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.26 | -0.44 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |