← Segunda División 2016 · Sun, Sep 4, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Francisco Manuel Arias Lopez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia win | 39% | 2.53 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.03 |
| Alcorcon win | 29% | 3.33 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | David Rodriguez · Alcorcon |
| 19' | ⚽ | Alexander Callens · Numancia |
| 23' | 🟨 | Unai Elgezabal · Alcorcon |
| 56' | 🟨 | Sergio Aguza · Alcorcon |
| 58' | 🟨 | Unai Medina · Numancia |
| 71' | 🟨 | Manuel Sánchez · Alcorcon |
| 84' | 🟨 | Álvaro Rey · Alcorcon |
| 89' | 🟨 | Eneko Capilla · Numancia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Numancia | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.35 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 461.00 | 95.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| venue | Los Pajaritos |
| -0.60 |
| — |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | — |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | — |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | — |
| elo | 1485.54 | 1488.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.67 | 0.80 |
| eye test v1 | -1.26 | -1.34 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.00 | 73.50 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.50 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| skill v1 | -1.33 | -0.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.50 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.50 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.50 | 2.00 |
| state index | -0.06 | -0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.16 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |