← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sun, Nov 5, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Lasse Koslowski, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 54% | 1.82 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.69 |
| Heidenheim win | 20% | 4.91 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Florian Neuhaus · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 64' | 🟨 | Kaan Ayhan · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 78' | ⚽ | Rouwen Hennings · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 82' | 🟨 | Rouwen Hennings · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 83' | ⚽ | John Verhoek · Heidenheim |
| 84' | 🟨 | Robert Glatzel · Heidenheim |
| 87' | 🟨 | Jean Zimmer · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 87' | 🟨 | Arne Feick · Heidenheim |
| 88' | 🟨 | Tim Skarke · Heidenheim |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kaan Ayhan · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 90' | 🟨 | Benito Raman · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 90' | 🟥 | Kaan Ayhan · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kevin Müller · Heidenheim |
| 90' | ⚽ | Benito Raman · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Marc Schnatterer · Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 19 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 614.00 |
| venue | Merkur Spielarena |
| 3718.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 2.23 |
| elo | 1506.00 | 1402.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 46.34 | -27.59 |
| eye test v1 | 0.59 | -1.04 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.30 | 57.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.99 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.65 |
| league points | 29.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 66.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 40.60 |
| rest days | 5.71 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 2.42 | 0.92 |
| skill v1 | 0.11 | -1.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.60 |
| state index | 0.77 | -0.83 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.40 | -1.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.80 |