← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sat, Oct 14, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Tobias Stieler, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld win | 38% | 2.55 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 34% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | ⚽ | Benito Raman · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 73' | 🟨 | Julian Börner · Bielefeld |
| 76' | ⚽ | Florian Neuhaus · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 19 |
| 3 | On target | 11 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| coach days | 470.00 | 592.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| venue | Schüco-Arena |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -5.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.15 | 2.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1485.61 | 1517.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.66 | 23.21 |
| eye test v1 | -0.16 | 0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 60.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.74 |
| league points | 17.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 69.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 11.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.70 | 2.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.05 | -1.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.90 | 25.80 |
| state index | -0.11 | 0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.20 | -1.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |