← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Wed, Sep 20, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Robert Kempter, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 55% | 1.77 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.98 |
| Regensburg win | 20% | 4.91 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 16 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 19 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.17 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 |
| venue | Merkur Spielarena |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 568.00 | 81.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.95 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1479.22 | 1329.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 38.93 | 22.42 |
| eye test v1 | -0.01 | -0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.32 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.90 | 63.17 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.71 |
| league points | 13.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 67.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 2.17 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.39 | -0.90 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.07 | 25.74 |
| state index | 0.36 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.26 | -0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |