← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Sat, Aug 19, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Bastian Dankert, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 47% | 2.06 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.39 |
| Kaiserslautern win | 24% | 4.09 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 10 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 10 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 |
| venue | Merkur Spielarena |
| 1.20 |
| coach days | 536.00 | 444.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.31 | 1.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1458.04 | 1472.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 41.59 | -27.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.44 | -0.44 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 51.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | — |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 13.00 | 15.00 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.60 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.39 | -0.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.99 | 24.36 |
| state index | 0.07 | -0.64 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.14 | -0.94 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |