← 2. Bundesliga 2017 · Mon, Jul 31, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Christian Dingert, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 45% | 2.16 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.38 |
| Braunschweig win | 26% | 3.76 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 10 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 19 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 |
| venue | Merkur Spielarena |
| 0.00 |
| coach days | 517.00 | 3378.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.47 | 2.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1437.99 | 1579.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.21 | 3.73 |
| eye test v1 | -0.56 | 0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.70 | 54.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.80 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.60 | 62.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 41.60 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | -8.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.75 | -2.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 25.67 | 26.50 |
| state index | -0.33 | 0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.54 | -2.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.43 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.41 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |