← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, May 27, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Eduardo Prieto Iglesias, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 38% | 2.57 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.82 |
| Alcorcon win | 28% | 3.48 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | 🟨 | Marco Motta · Almeria |
| 71' | 🟨 | Daniel Toribio · Alcorcon |
| 90' | 🟨 | Casto · Alcorcon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| coach days | 452.00 | 603.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| venue | Estadio del Mediterráneo |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| -1.60 |
| -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.63 | 2.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1432.32 | 1432.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.59 | 9.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.77 | -0.87 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.60 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.79 |
| league points | 52.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.20 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.16 | 0.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 26.76 | 30.06 |
| state index | -0.29 | 0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.69 | 0.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |