← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, May 20, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui Fernandez Orte, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 37% | 2.60 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 33% | 2.93 |
| Alcorcon win | 30% | 3.24 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Álvaro Peña · Alcorcon |
| 43' | 🟨 | David Fernandez · Alcorcon |
| 54' | 🟨 | Albert Dorca · Alcorcon |
| 63' | 🟨 | Dani Jiménez · Alcorcon |
| 67' | ⚽ | Daniel Toribio · Alcorcon |
| 77' | ⚽ | Mateo García · Alcorcon |
| 81' | 🟨 | Daniel Toribio · Alcorcon |
| 88' | 🟨 | Unai López · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 88' | ⚽ | Álvaro Giménez · Alcorcon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 8 |
| 20 | Fouls | 20 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alcorcon | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| venue | Santo Domingo |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 596.00 | 473.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.03 | 1.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1407.00 | 1599.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.33 | 16.38 |
| eye test v1 | -0.92 | 0.75 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.40 | 64.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.71 |
| league points | 47.00 | 78.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.00 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.40 | 0.75 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 30.53 | 27.02 |
| state index | -0.61 | 0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.86 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |