← Segunda División 2017 · Sat, May 19, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Adrian Cordero Vega, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 51% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.49 |
| Lorca FC win | 21% | 4.62 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | Carlos Pomares · Lorca FC |
| 33' | ⚽ | Borja · Valladolid |
| 40' | 🟨 | Fernando Calero · Valladolid |
| 50' | 🟨 | Fran Cruz · Lorca FC |
| 50' | ⚽ (pen) | Jaime Mata · Valladolid |
| 54' | 🟨 | Nacho Martinez · Valladolid |
| 73' | ⚽ | Jaime Mata · Valladolid |
| 87' | ⚽ | Míchel Herrero · Valladolid |
| 89' | ⚽ | Jaime Mata · Valladolid |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 17 |
| 1 | On target | 11 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lorca FC | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio Francisco Artes Carrasco |
| coach days | 291.00 | 48.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.60 | 2.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1336.26 | 1520.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.22 | 21.93 |
| eye test v1 | -1.03 | -0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.80 | 61.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.79 |
| league points | 31.00 | 68.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.60 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.48 |
| season ppg | 0.74 | 1.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.97 | 0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.50 | 29.11 |
| state index | -0.19 | 0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.24 | 0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |