← Segunda División 2017 · Sat, May 5, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia win | 41% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Valladolid win | 29% | 3.38 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Unai Elgezabal · Numancia |
| 54' | 🟨 | Óscar Plano · Valladolid |
| 57' | 🟨 | Fernando Calero · Valladolid |
| 61' | 🟨 | Míchel Herrero · Valladolid |
| 77' | ⚽ | Borja · Valladolid |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 4 |
| 0 | On target | 1 |
| 1 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Numancia | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | Los Pajaritos |
| coach days | 1069.00 | 34.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 2.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1521.40 | 1502.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 41.70 | -16.56 |
| eye test v1 | -0.35 | -0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.33 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.80 | 60.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.80 |
| league points | 67.00 | 62.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 61.80 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.49 |
| season ppg | 1.68 | 1.51 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.74 | 0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.84 | 27.19 |
| state index | 0.87 | -0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.08 | 0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |