← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, Apr 29, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Santiago Varon Aceiton
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gimnastic win | 38% | 2.55 |
| Lorca FC win | 32% | 2.99 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.29 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Abraham Minero · Gimnastic |
| 40' | 🟨 | Carlos Pomares · Lorca FC |
| 49' | ⚽ | Daniel Ojeda · Lorca FC |
| 64' | 🟨 | — · Lorca FC |
| 64' | 🟨 | Sergio Tejera · Gimnastic |
| 69' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Apeh · Lorca FC |
| 86' | 🟨 | Xavier Molina · Gimnastic |
| 90' | 🟨 | Javier Muñoz · Lorca FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Juan Muñiz · Gimnastic |
| 90' | 🟥 | Álvaro Vázquez · Gimnastic |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lorca FC | Gimnastic |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.40 |
| venue | Estadio Francisco Artes Carrasco |
| coach days | 271.00 | 240.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.37 | 2.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1317.27 | 1438.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.22 | 13.02 |
| eye test v1 | -0.79 | -0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.20 | 53.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.84 |
| league points | 25.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.20 | 66.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.40 | 43.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.13 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 0.64 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.16 | -1.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.40 | 27.13 |
| state index | -0.70 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.61 | -0.98 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |