← Segunda División 2017 · Sat, Apr 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Gorka Sagues Oscoz, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gimnastic win | 36% | 2.73 |
| Numancia win | 32% | 3.01 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.01 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Juan Muñiz · Gimnastic |
| 9' | 🟨 | Abraham Minero · Gimnastic |
| 21' | 🟨 | Pablo Valcarce · Numancia |
| 35' | 🟨 | Grego Sierra · Numancia |
| 45' | 🟨 | Álvaro Vázquez · Gimnastic |
| 74' | 🟨 | Pablo Larrea · Numancia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gimnastic | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Nou Estadi Municipal |
| coach days | 232.00 | 1055.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 3.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1438.44 | 1506.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.84 | 32.73 |
| eye test v1 | -0.85 | -0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.38 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.70 | 60.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.71 |
| league points | 45.00 | 63.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.80 | 65.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.66 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.22 | -1.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 1.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 25.85 | 26.76 |
| state index | -0.34 | 0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.66 | -0.90 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |