← Segunda División 2017 · Sat, Apr 14, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Jorge Valdes Aller, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon win | 37% | 2.63 |
| Lorca FC win | 33% | 2.93 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.24 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Jonathan Pereira · Alcorcon |
| 10' | ⚽ | Javier Muñoz · Lorca FC |
| 36' | 🟨 | Alberto Noguera · Lorca FC |
| 42' | 🟨 | Carlos Pomares · Lorca FC |
| 49' | 🟨 | Daniel Toribio · Alcorcon |
| 61' | 🟨 | Nono · Alcorcon |
| 64' | 🟨 | Álvaro Peña · Alcorcon |
| 84' | 🟨 | Javier Muñoz · Lorca FC |
| 88' | 🟨 | David Fernandez · Alcorcon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lorca FC | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| venue | Estadio Francisco Artes Carrasco |
| coach days | 256.00 | 560.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.20 | 2.98 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1311.04 | 1424.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.58 | 6.45 |
| eye test v1 | -0.24 | -0.57 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.30 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.60 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.72 |
| league points | 23.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.20 | 67.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.80 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.62 | 1.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.34 | -1.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.51 | 31.14 |
| state index | -0.82 | -0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.16 | -0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |