← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, Apr 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Damaso Arcediano Monescillo, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 38% | 2.58 |
| Gimnastic win | 33% | 2.93 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.31 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Antoñito · Valladolid |
| 28' | 🟨 | Luismi · Valladolid |
| 56' | 🟨 | Fali · Gimnastic |
| 61' | 🟨 | Cesar Arzo · Gimnastic |
| 62' | 🟨 | Javier Ontiveros · Valladolid |
| 69' | 🟨 | Xavier Molina · Gimnastic |
| 81' | 🟨 | Giannis Gianniotas · Valladolid |
| 89' | ⚽ | Álvaro Vázquez · Gimnastic |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sergio Tejera · Gimnastic |
| 90' | 🟨 | Míchel Herrero · Valladolid |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gimnastic | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| venue | Nou Estadi Municipal |
| coach days | 219.00 | 7.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1433.94 | 1519.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.97 | 14.69 |
| eye test v1 | -0.82 | 0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.70 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.78 |
| league points | 42.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.80 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.49 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.61 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -10.40 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.24 | 0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 26.08 | 28.57 |
| state index | -0.48 | 0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.36 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |