← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, Apr 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Jorge Figueroa Vazquez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gimnastic win | 41% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.21 |
| Lugo win | 28% | 3.44 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Maikel Mesa · Gimnastic |
| 67' | 🟨 | Carlos Pita · Lugo |
| 69' | 🟨 | Sergio Tejera · Gimnastic |
| 71' | 🟨 | Tete Morente · Gimnastic |
| 72' | 🟨 | Álvaro Vázquez · Gimnastic |
| 72' | 🟨 | Vasyl Kravets · Lugo |
| 75' | ⚽ | Juan Muñiz · Gimnastic |
| 90' | ⚽ | Tete Morente · Gimnastic |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 18 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gimnastic | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| venue | Nou Estadi Municipal |
| coach days | 212.00 | 274.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.28 | 3.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1416.98 | 1466.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.55 | -6.38 |
| eye test v1 | -1.04 | -0.73 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.38 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.00 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.73 |
| league points | 39.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.20 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.49 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -10.20 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.06 | -0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.70 | 27.84 |
| state index | -0.85 | -0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.10 | 0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |