← Segunda División 2017 · Sat, Mar 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Inaki Vicandi Garrido, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon win | 38% | 2.58 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.06 |
| Valladolid win | 31% | 3.17 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 50' | 🟨 | Daniel Toribio · Alcorcon |
| 89' | 🟨 | Borja · Valladolid |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 9 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alcorcon | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.20 |
| coach days | 525.00 | 252.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.17 |
| venue | Santo Domingo |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| 3.60 |
| 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 2.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1418.43 | 1504.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.06 | -3.04 |
| eye test v1 | 0.18 | 0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.69 |
| league points | 36.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.80 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.47 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.00 | 0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 28.62 | 27.40 |
| state index | -0.45 | -0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.05 | 0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |