← Segunda División 2017 · Sat, Mar 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Juan Luis Pulido Santana, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Granada win | 64% | 1.51 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.36 |
| Gimnastic win | 13% | 7.33 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Julio Pleguezuelo · Gimnastic |
| 36' | ⚽ | Omar Perdomo · Gimnastic |
| 42' | 🟨 | Tete Morente · Gimnastic |
| 83' | 🟨 | Otar Kakabadze · Gimnastic |
| 86' | 🟨 | Pierre Kunde · Granada |
| 86' | 🟨 | Álvaro Vázquez · Gimnastic |
| 86' | 🟨 | Abraham Minero · Gimnastic |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 42 | Shots | 7 |
| 18 | On target | 1 |
| 22 | Corners | 1 |
| 19 | Fouls | 29 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Granada | Gimnastic |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| venue | Nuevo Los Cármenes |
| coach days | 252.00 | 190.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 1.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1510.04 | 1431.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.26 | -12.64 |
| eye test v1 | -0.24 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.48 | 0.50 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.70 | 51.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.76 |
| league points | 52.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 66.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.68 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.59 | -1.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.47 | 26.58 |
| state index | 0.55 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.77 | -0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |