← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, Mar 4, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 41% | 2.38 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 31% | 3.15 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.43 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Anuar · Valladolid |
| 38' | 🟨 | Borja Herrera · Valladolid |
| 48' | ⚽ (pen) | Jaime Mata · Valladolid |
| 49' | 🟨 | Emiliano Velazquez · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 55' | ⚽ (pen) | Raúl de Tomás · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 57' | 🟨 | Javi Moyano · Valladolid |
| 69' | 🟨 | Emiliano Velazquez · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 69' | 🟥 | Emiliano Velazquez · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 71' | 🟨 | Jaime Mata · Valladolid |
| 76' | 🟨 | Fernando Calero · Valladolid |
| 90' | 🟨 | Baiano · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 22 | Fouls | 18 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valladolid | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.43 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 246.00 |
| venue | José Zorrilla |
| 396.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 2.72 |
| elo | 1481.68 | 1549.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.84 | 42.41 |
| eye test v1 | -0.62 | 1.20 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 55.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.32 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.66 |
| league points | 42.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 7.25 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.47 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.79 |
| skill v1 | -0.13 | 0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 7.00 |
| state index | 0.13 | 0.81 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.49 | -0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |