← Segunda División 2017 · Sat, Feb 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: David Perez Pallas, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 36% | 2.68 |
| Gimnastic win | 35% | 2.79 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.35 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Alberto Zapater · Zaragoza |
| 41' | ⚽ | Simone Grippo · Zaragoza |
| 45' | 🟨 | Cristian Álvarez · Zaragoza |
| 51' | 🟨 | Jorge Pombo · Zaragoza |
| 60' | ⚽ | Borja Iglesias · Zaragoza |
| 64' | 🟨 | Javi Marquez · Gimnastic |
| 86' | 🟨 | Vinícius Araújo · Zaragoza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alberto Benito · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 19 | Fouls | 20 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gimnastic | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.44 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Nou Estadi Municipal |
| coach days | 169.00 | 231.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 3.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1457.23 | 1477.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.44 | 23.77 |
| eye test v1 | -1.13 | -0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 60.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.76 |
| league points | 35.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.40 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.96 | -0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.75 | 25.52 |
| state index | -0.46 | 0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.03 | -0.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |