← Segunda División 2017 · Fri, Feb 9, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui Fernandez Orte, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Granada win | 46% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
| Valladolid win | 26% | 3.79 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | ⚽ | Darwin Machís · Granada |
| 28' | 🟨 | Darwin Machís · Granada |
| 30' | 🟨 | Ángel Montoro · Granada |
| 45' | 🟨 | Luismi · Valladolid |
| 58' | 🟨 | Fernando Calero · Valladolid |
| 68' | 🟨 | Germán Sánchez · Granada |
| 71' | 🟨 | Raul Baena · Granada |
| 73' | 🟨 | Toni Martínez · Valladolid |
| 88' | 🟨 | Salvador Agra · Granada |
| 89' | 🟨 | Anuar · Valladolid |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jaime Mata · Valladolid |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 9 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 17 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Granada | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Nuevo Los Cármenes |
| coach days | 223.00 | 223.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.73 | 2.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1493.65 | 1514.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.73 | 26.67 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | -0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.60 | 62.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.68 |
| league points | 43.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.47 |
| season ppg | 1.59 | 1.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.14 | -0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.12 | 28.06 |
| state index | -0.03 | 0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.05 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.80 |