← Segunda División 2017 · Sat, Jan 20, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Victor Areces Franco, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca win | 45% | 2.16 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.31 |
| Lorca FC win | 26% | 3.76 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Aly Mallé · Lorca FC |
| 24' | ⚽ | Alexander González · Huesca |
| 29' | 🟨 | Alexander González · Huesca |
| 30' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Apeh · Lorca FC |
| 45' | 🟨 | Javier Muñoz · Lorca FC |
| 53' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Apeh · Lorca FC |
| 54' | 🟨 | Álex Gallar · Huesca |
| 56' | 🟨 | Cucho Hernández · Huesca |
| 59' | ⚽ | Chimy Ávila · Huesca |
| 61' | 🟨 | Carlos Peña · Lorca FC |
| 64' | 🟨 | Juan Pina · Lorca FC |
| 66' | ⚽ (pen) | Gonzalo Melero · Huesca |
| 76' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Apeh · Lorca FC |
| 76' | 🟥 | Emmanuel Apeh · Lorca FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rulo Prieto · Huesca |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 18 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 8 |
| 21 | Fouls | 9 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lorca FC | Huesca |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio Francisco Artes Carrasco |
| coach days | 172.00 | 203.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 3.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1334.42 | 1583.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -38.36 | 21.56 |
| eye test v1 | -0.63 | 0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.20 | 56.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.75 |
| league points | 16.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.40 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 0.67 | 1.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.05 | -0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 27.08 | 26.28 |
| state index | -1.37 | 0.67 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.58 | -0.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |