← Segunda División 2017 · Sat, Jan 13, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Valentin Pizarro Gomez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 40% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 38% | 2.57 |
| Gimnastic win | 22% | 4.32 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 42' | 🟨 | Antonio Navas · Almeria |
| 59' | ⚽ | Fidel · Almeria |
| 73' | 🟨 | Juan Muñiz · Gimnastic |
| 79' | ⚽ (og) | Joaquín Fernández · Gimnastic |
| 80' | 🟨 | Fran Rodríguez · Almeria |
| 86' | 🟨 | Verza · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Gimnastic |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio del Mediterráneo |
| coach days | 318.00 | 134.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.70 | 2.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| elo | 1432.97 | 1456.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.87 | 6.87 |
| eye test v1 | -0.81 | -0.90 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.33 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.00 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.77 |
| league points | 28.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.00 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.60 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.60 | -12.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.60 | -0.82 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 7.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 27.44 | 26.80 |
| state index | -0.08 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.67 | -0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |