← Segunda División 2017 · Sat, Jan 6, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Adrian Cordero Vega, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 66% | 1.47 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.17 |
| Gimnastic win | 10% | 9.58 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Maikel Mesa · Gimnastic |
| 18' | 🟨 | Otar Kakabadze · Gimnastic |
| 23' | ⚽ | Adrián Embarba · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 29' | 🟨 | Emiliano Velazquez · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 33' | ⚽ | Manu Barreiro · Gimnastic |
| 36' | 🟨 | Juan Muñiz · Gimnastic |
| 62' | 🟨 | Raúl de Tomás · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 83' | 🟨 | Stole Dimitrievski · Gimnastic |
| 87' | 🟨 | Javier Matilla · Gimnastic |
| 88' | 🟨 | Maikel Mesa · Gimnastic |
| 89' | ⚽ (pen) | Óscar Trejo · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 90' | 🟨 | Abraham Minero · Gimnastic |
| 90' | ⚽ | Manu Barreiro · Gimnastic |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 29 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Gimnastic |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.40 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 339.00 |
| venue | Estadio de Vallecas |
| 127.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.80 | 2.74 |
| elo | 1522.04 | 1414.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.80 | -17.55 |
| eye test v1 | 0.61 | -0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.90 | 52.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.75 |
| league points | 35.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 14.92 | 14.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 1.11 |
| skill v1 | 0.30 | -0.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.20 |
| state index | 0.46 | -0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.26 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |