← Segunda División 2017 · Fri, Dec 22, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Damaso Arcediano Monescillo, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon win | 49% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.08 |
| Almeria win | 20% | 4.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Albert Dorca · Alcorcon |
| 48' | 🟨 | Lucien Owona · Almeria |
| 60' | 🟨 | Albert Dorca · Alcorcon |
| 66' | ⚽ | Jonathan Pereira · Alcorcon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 5 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 10 | Corners | 5 |
| 19 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alcorcon | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.50 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| coach days | 447.00 | 296.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| venue | Santo Domingo |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| 1.40 |
| -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 3.61 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1442.48 | 1435.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.50 | 29.56 |
| eye test v1 | -0.66 | 0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.47 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.90 | 59.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.67 |
| league points | 24.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 68.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 36.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.34 | -1.81 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 30.25 | 25.95 |
| state index | -0.43 | -0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.25 | -1.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |