← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, Dec 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Jorge Figueroa Vazquez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 58% | 1.69 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.58 |
| Alcorcon win | 15% | 6.42 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio de Vallecas |
| 4.20 |
| coach days | 319.00 | 442.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.65 | 1.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1537.21 | 1448.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.35 | 11.46 |
| eye test v1 | 0.78 | -0.67 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | 0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.80 | 59.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.65 |
| league points | 31.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.35 | -0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 25.69 | 30.46 |
| state index | 0.20 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.07 | -0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |