← Segunda División 2017 · Sat, Nov 25, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Jorge Figueroa Vazquez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gimnastic win | 50% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Lorca FC win | 20% | 4.88 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 56' | 🟨 | Jon Gaztañaga · Gimnastic |
| 60' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Apeh · Lorca FC |
| 72' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Apeh · Lorca FC |
| 74' | 🟨 | Abel · Lorca FC |
| 75' | 🟨 | Manu Barreiro · Gimnastic |
| 76' | 🟨 | Cristian Bustos · Lorca FC |
| 84' | 🟨 | Wilfried Zahibo · Gimnastic |
| 85' | ⚽ | Abel · Lorca FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Otar Kakabadze · Gimnastic |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 18 |
| 1 | On target | 9 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 23 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gimnastic | Lorca FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.52 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.49 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Nou Estadi Municipal |
| coach days | 85.00 | 116.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.77 | 3.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1470.86 | 1370.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.02 | -2.79 |
| eye test v1 | -0.48 | 0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | -0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.70 | 60.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.62 |
| league points | 18.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.80 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.00 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 0.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.40 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.12 | -0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 27.90 | 26.94 |
| state index | -0.04 | -0.74 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.41 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |