← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, Nov 5, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui Fernandez Orte, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 61% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.98 |
| Gimnastic win | 15% | 6.68 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Maikel Mesa · Gimnastic |
| 14' | 🟨 | Maikel Mesa · Gimnastic |
| 21' | 🟨 | Toni Villa · Valladolid |
| 27' | 🟨 | Xavier Molina · Gimnastic |
| 52' | ⚽ | Jean Luc Gbayara · Gimnastic |
| 63' | ⚽ | Maikel Mesa · Gimnastic |
| 77' | 🟨 | Wilfried Zahibo · Gimnastic |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 25 | Shots | 4 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 13 | Corners | 0 |
| 7 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valladolid | Gimnastic |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | José Zorrilla |
| coach days | 127.00 | 65.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.60 | 2.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1521.29 | 1445.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.77 | -0.52 |
| eye test v1 | 0.37 | 0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.28 | -0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.10 | 54.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.73 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.74 |
| league points | 22.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.40 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 63.80 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| season ppg | 1.69 | 0.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.67 | -0.79 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 25.18 | 26.62 |
| state index | 0.05 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.49 | -0.97 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |