← Segunda División 2017 · Fri, Nov 3, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Saul Ais Reig, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia win | 44% | 2.21 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.93 |
| Alcorcon win | 23% | 4.32 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | 🟨 | Hugo Álvarez · Alcorcon |
| 61' | 🟨 | Laure · Alcorcon |
| 61' | ⚽ | Manu Del Moral · Numancia |
| 82' | 🟨 | Pape Maly Diamanka · Numancia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 7 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 20 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Numancia | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| coach days | 886.00 | 398.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| venue | Los Pajaritos |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| 1.00 |
| -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 1.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1475.35 | 1447.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.40 | 0.86 |
| eye test v1 | 0.16 | -0.68 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.50 | 55.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.72 |
| league points | 22.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 70.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.40 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.69 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.83 | -1.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.46 | 30.79 |
| state index | -0.40 | -0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.02 | -0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |