← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, Oct 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Luis Mario Milla Alvendiz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon win | 37% | 2.63 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.87 |
| Oviedo win | 29% | 3.37 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | McDonald Mariga · Oviedo |
| 41' | ⚽ | Álvaro Giménez · Alcorcon |
| 44' | 🟨 | Casto · Alcorcon |
| 60' | ⚽ | Laure · Alcorcon |
| 74' | 🟨 | Nahuel Valentini · Oviedo |
| 79' | 🟨 | Albert Dorca · Alcorcon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alcorcon | Oviedo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| venue | Santo Domingo |
| coach days | 393.00 | 120.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 1.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1433.39 | 1483.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.42 | -7.93 |
| eye test v1 | -0.79 | -0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.90 | 57.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | — |
| league points | 13.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.40 | 70.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.20 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 7.04 | 7.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.04 | -0.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 30.91 | 29.28 |
| state index | -0.73 | -0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.51 | -0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |