← Segunda División 2017 · Thu, Oct 12, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Santiago Varon Aceiton
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 57% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
| Alcorcon win | 16% | 5.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Marco Sangalli · Alcorcon |
| 38' | 🟨 | Borja Lázaro · Alcorcon |
| 41' | ⚽ | Jaime Mata · Valladolid |
| 60' | ⚽ | Míchel Herrero · Valladolid |
| 87' | ⚽ | Jaime Mata · Valladolid |
| 90' | ⚽ | Giannis Gianniotas · Valladolid |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 27 | Fouls | 21 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valladolid | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| venue | José Zorrilla |
| coach days | 103.00 | 376.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1511.58 | 1431.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.62 | -32.27 |
| eye test v1 | 0.80 | -0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.42 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.90 | 53.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.66 |
| league points | 16.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | — |
| season ppg | 1.78 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.32 | -0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.10 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.10 | 31.44 |
| state index | 0.01 | -0.84 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.23 | -0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |