← Süper Lig 2018 · Mon, May 20, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Suat Arslanboga, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzurumspor FK win | 41% | 2.35 |
| Fenerbahce win | 32% | 2.99 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.69 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | İbrahim Akdağ · Erzurumspor FK |
| 18' | 🟨 | Mathieu Valbuena · Fenerbahce |
| 43' | 🟨 | Hakan Arslan · Erzurumspor FK |
| 43' | 🟨 | Tolgay Arslan · Fenerbahce |
| 58' | 🟨 | Ibrahim Šehić · Erzurumspor FK |
| 59' | ⚽ (pen) | Victor Moses · Fenerbahce |
| 69' | 🟨 | Martin Škrtel · Fenerbahce |
| 71' | 🟨 | Serdar Aziz · Fenerbahce |
| 87' | 🟨 | Harun Tekin · Fenerbahce |
| 88' | 🟨 | Tolga Ünlü · Erzurumspor FK |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erzurumspor FK | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Kazım Karabekir Stadyumu |
| coach days | 80.00 | 170.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.97 | 2.98 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1428.71 | 1646.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 32.05 | 15.77 |
| eye test v1 | 0.31 | -0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.80 | 48.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.71 |
| league points | 35.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 0.92 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.38 | 0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.84 | 29.79 |
| state index | 0.11 | 0.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | 0.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |