← Süper Lig 2018 · Sat, May 4, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Cuneyt Cakir, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzurumspor FK win | 36% | 2.72 |
| Bursaspor win | 32% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Pierre Kanstrup · Erzurumspor FK |
| 49' | 🟨 | Emrah Başsan · Erzurumspor FK |
| 63' | 🟨 | Henri Saivet · Bursaspor |
| 67' | 🟨 | Tolga Ünlü · Erzurumspor FK |
| 76' | ⚽ | Samuel Eduok · Erzurumspor FK |
| 79' | 🟨 | Yusuf Erdoğan · Bursaspor |
| 84' | ⚽ | Hakan Arslan · Erzurumspor FK |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 15 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erzurumspor FK | Bursaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Kazım Karabekir Stadyumu |
| coach days | 64.00 | 337.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1423.11 | 1454.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.51 | -9.27 |
| eye test v1 | 0.49 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.10 | 50.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.47 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.48 |
| league points | 32.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 71.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 0.89 | 0.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.60 | -0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.04 | 26.85 |
| state index | -0.09 | -0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.07 | -0.82 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |