← Süper Lig 2018 · Sat, Mar 16, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Ali Palabiyik, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzurumspor FK win | 40% | 2.43 |
| Trabzonspor win | 34% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.68 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 47' | 🟨 | Vahid Amiri · Trabzonspor |
| 64' | ⚽ | Anthony Nwakaeme · Trabzonspor |
| 74' | 🟨 | Abdulkadir Parmak · Trabzonspor |
| 86' | 🟨 | Hugo Rodallega · Trabzonspor |
| 87' | 🟨 | Lokman Gör · Erzurumspor FK |
| 90' | 🟨 | İbrahim Akdağ · Erzurumspor FK |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 13 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erzurumspor FK | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 |
| venue | Kazım Karabekir Stadyumu |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 15.00 | 288.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.38 | 3.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1413.98 | 1605.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.83 | -6.43 |
| eye test v1 | 0.13 | 0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.36 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.20 | 58.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.77 |
| league points | 25.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 14.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 0.83 | 1.52 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.46 | 0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 6.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 28.41 | 26.75 |
| state index | -0.41 | 0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.54 | 0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |