← Süper Lig 2018 · Sun, Mar 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Mete Kalkavan, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor win | 55% | 1.77 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
| Erzurumspor FK win | 20% | 4.91 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | ⚽ | Papiss Demba Cissé · Alanyaspor |
| 57' | 🟨 | Pierre Kanstrup · Erzurumspor FK |
| 59' | ⚽ (pen) | Welinton · Alanyaspor |
| 71' | 🟨 | Gilles Sunu · Erzurumspor FK |
| 77' | ⚽ (pen) | Gilles Sunu · Erzurumspor FK |
| 90' | 🟨 | Cenk Ahmet Alkılıç · Alanyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 21 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alanyaspor | Erzurumspor FK |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| venue | Alanya Oba Stadyumu |
| coach days | 129.00 | 9.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 4.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1556.38 | 1418.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.27 | 33.33 |
| eye test v1 | 0.56 | 0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.28 | 0.55 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 68.30 | 50.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.63 |
| league points | 39.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.34 | 0.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.16 | -0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 28.86 | 28.69 |
| state index | 0.47 | -0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.27 | -0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |