← Süper Lig 2018 · Sun, Feb 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Bulent Yildirim, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzurumspor FK win | 41% | 2.38 |
| Sivasspor win | 31% | 3.13 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ (pen) | Jasmin Ščuk · Erzurumspor FK |
| 12' | ⚽ | Sergiy Rybalka · Sivasspor |
| 30' | ⚽ | Samuel Eduok · Erzurumspor FK |
| 34' | 🟨 | Douglas · Sivasspor |
| 49' | 🟨 | Uğur Çiftçi · Sivasspor |
| 56' | ⚽ | Hakan Arslan · Sivasspor |
| 57' | 🟨 | Lokman Gör · Erzurumspor FK |
| 60' | ⚽ | Samuel Eduok · Erzurumspor FK |
| 71' | 🟨 | David Braz · Sivasspor |
| 72' | ⚽ | Gabriel Obertan · Erzurumspor FK |
| 74' | 🟨 | Delvin N'Dinga · Sivasspor |
| 83' | 🟨 | Arouna Koné · Sivasspor |
| 85' | 🟨 | Rashad Muhammed · Erzurumspor FK |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 18 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erzurumspor FK | Sivasspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Kazım Karabekir Stadyumu |
| coach days | 169.00 | 108.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.53 | 3.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1394.15 | 1589.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.95 | 26.86 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | 0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.00 | 67.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.47 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.70 |
| league points | 20.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.80 | 1.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.20 | 0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 29.10 | 29.74 |
| state index | -0.64 | 0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.08 | -0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |