← Süper Lig 2018 · Sun, Dec 23, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Huseyin Gocek, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzurumspor FK win | 40% | 2.44 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.18 |
| Kayserispor win | 30% | 3.27 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Tiago Lopes · Kayserispor |
| 32' | ⚽ | Cristian Săpunaru · Kayserispor |
| 38' | 🟨 | Lokman Gör · Erzurumspor FK |
| 38' | 🟨 | İbrahim Akdağ · Erzurumspor FK |
| 38' | 🟨 | Cristian Săpunaru · Kayserispor |
| 38' | 🟨 | Tjaronn Chery · Kayserispor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Şamil Çinaz · Kayserispor |
| 45' | ⚽ | Taylan Antalyalı · Erzurumspor FK |
| 90' | 🟨 | Muammer Yıldırım · Kayserispor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Deniz Türüç · Kayserispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 20 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erzurumspor FK | Kayserispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.41 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Kazım Karabekir Stadyumu |
| 2.80 |
| coach days | 113.00 | 22.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -5.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 8.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.58 | 1.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1382.79 | 1491.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.06 | 39.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.67 | -0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | 0.58 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.20 | 64.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.63 |
| league points | 16.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 0.84 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.11 | -0.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.80 | 29.76 |
| state index | -0.38 | 0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.36 | 0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |