← Süper Lig 2018 · Mon, Dec 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Firat Aydinus, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 67% | 1.43 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.61 |
| Erzurumspor FK win | 12% | 7.88 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Lokman Gör · Erzurumspor FK |
| 18' | ⚽ | André Ayew · Fenerbahce |
| 27' | ⚽ | Martin Škrtel · Fenerbahce |
| 48' | ⚽ | Emrah Başsan · Erzurumspor FK |
| 81' | 🟨 | Egemen Korkmaz · Erzurumspor FK |
| 90' | 🟨 | Hakan Arslan · Erzurumspor FK |
| 90' | ⚽ | Lennart Thy · Erzurumspor FK |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 17 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Erzurumspor FK |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.32 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadı |
| coach days | 16.00 | 107.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 2.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1640.43 | 1375.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -47.75 | 14.62 |
| eye test v1 | -0.59 | -0.90 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.36 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.10 | 57.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.71 |
| league points | 17.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.20 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 3.79 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 0.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.97 | 0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 26.67 | 29.11 |
| state index | -0.39 | -0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.70 | 0.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |