← Süper Lig 2018 · Sat, Nov 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Huseyin Gocek, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzurumspor FK win | 38% | 2.57 |
| Goztep win | 32% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.24 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | ⚽ | İbrahim Akdağ · Erzurumspor FK |
| 33' | 🟨 | Taylan Antalyalı · Erzurumspor FK |
| 33' | 🟨 | Celso Borges · Goztep |
| 45' | 🟨 | Gilles Sunu · Erzurumspor FK |
| 53' | ⚽ | Taylan Antalyalı · Erzurumspor FK |
| 66' | 🟨 | Alpaslan Öztürk · Goztep |
| 90' | ⚽ | Yasin Öztekin · Goztep |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erzurumspor FK | Goztep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Kazım Karabekir Stadyumu |
| coach days | 70.00 | 497.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.85 | 1.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1365.73 | 1503.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 36.44 | 7.64 |
| eye test v1 | -0.72 | 0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.90 | 56.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.61 |
| league points | 9.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.46 |
| season ppg | 0.64 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.41 | 0.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 28.84 | 28.64 |
| state index | -0.33 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.10 | 0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |