← Süper Lig 2018 · Sat, Nov 3, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Mete Kalkavan, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Akhisarspor win | 47% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.39 |
| Erzurumspor FK win | 24% | 4.01 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | ⚽ | Auremir · Erzurumspor FK |
| 37' | 🟨 | Elvis Manu · Akhisarspor |
| 38' | ⚽ (pen) | Güray Vural · Akhisarspor |
| 51' | 🟨 | Aykut Çeviker · Akhisarspor |
| 76' | 🟨 | Lokman Gör · Erzurumspor FK |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 5 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Akhisarspor | Erzurumspor FK |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 |
| venue | Spor Toto Akhisar Stadyumu |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 63.00 | 63.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 7.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.87 | 2.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1486.32 | 1360.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.95 | 30.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.17 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.00 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.20 | 53.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.47 | 0.69 |
| league points | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.40 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 7.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.85 | 0.62 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.23 | -0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 30.35 | 28.78 |
| state index | -0.88 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.52 | -0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |