← Süper Lig 2018 · Mon, Oct 22, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Bulent Yildirim, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 65% | 1.48 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.64 |
| Erzurumspor FK win | 14% | 6.83 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Gilles Sunu · Erzurumspor FK |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ogenyi Onazi · Trabzonspor |
| 65' | 🟨 | Auremir · Erzurumspor FK |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ibrahim Šehić · Erzurumspor FK |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 10 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Trabzonspor | Erzurumspor FK |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| coach days | 143.00 | 51.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.05 |
| venue | Medical Park Stadyumu |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 2.56 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1647.93 | 1343.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.67 | 6.73 |
| eye test v1 | 0.60 | 0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.00 | 54.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.68 |
| league points | 19.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.40 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 15.00 | 16.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.35 | 0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 3.88 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.92 | 27.65 |
| state index | 0.76 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.02 | -0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |