← Süper Lig 2018 · Sat, Oct 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Koray Gencerler, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzurumspor FK win | 47% | 2.08 |
| Alanyaspor win | 28% | 3.49 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.78 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 43' | 🟨 | Lokman Gör · Erzurumspor FK |
| 54' | ⚽ | Taylan Antalyalı · Erzurumspor FK |
| 67' | 🟨 | Ceyhun Gülselam · Alanyaspor |
| 74' | 🟨 | Gilles Sunu · Erzurumspor FK |
| 90' | 🟨 | Baiano · Alanyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erzurumspor FK | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Kazım Karabekir Stadyumu |
| coach days | 35.00 | 278.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -5.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 2.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1329.28 | 1542.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.11 | 56.28 |
| eye test v1 | -0.06 | -0.65 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.86 | 66.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.55 |
| league points | 2.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 17.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 39.80 |
| rest days | 7.88 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 0.22 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.11 | -1.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.86 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.48 | 29.19 |
| state index | -1.44 | 0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.58 | -0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |